Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 392.599837 445.509472 504.120526 574.070873 655.551753 747.788143 860.556359
2025-12-21 301.391246 367.469232 447.064847 550.792643 683.546448 849.297348 1074.337090
2025-12-28 267.882081 342.638935 437.920314 569.839268 750.226937 991.896814 1346.393096
2026-01-04 245.611076 326.705244 434.988719 592.705484 820.865737 1145.771476 1656.073444
2026-01-11 222.209859 305.210299 420.372161 595.357866 860.857822 1259.281187 1923.585292
2026-01-18 199.152784 280.988269 398.261294 582.993097 875.028350 1333.781309 2140.280463
2026-01-25 180.332818 260.570179 378.911666 571.470580 887.457080 1405.157973 2361.380906
2026-02-01 170.813762 252.782605 377.234944 586.522634 943.374870 1554.119042 2742.409158
2026-02-08 158.788155 239.858329 366.064897 584.478412 969.638322 1654.885146 3052.009998
2026-02-15 147.438308 226.885177 353.406102 578.184550 987.067733 1741.267104 3348.367858
2026-02-22 139.401000 218.472909 347.255778 582.108066 1022.836680 1866.064678 3746.077661
2026-03-01 129.806177 206.665331 334.299035 572.411013 1031.642063 1939.190954 4046.338815
2026-03-08 121.845656 197.161310 324.764896 568.514650 1052.265173 2041.520652 4440.001468
2026-03-15 111.652260 183.086879 306.129642 545.814147 1032.983881 2058.282437 4637.325410
2026-03-22 108.686061 181.323011 309.151677 564.620270 1100.459690 2272.109951 5368.803207
2026-03-29 106.428504 180.597100 313.919699 587.247731 1178.921467 2523.723951 6263.386956
2026-04-05 101.680539 174.976194 309.065602 589.871130 1214.055541 2680.086400 6938.731533
2026-04-12 95.491736 166.251223 297.610129 577.638480 1214.154877 2751.416582 7387.528616
2026-04-19 89.921105 158.304787 287.046371 566.238599 1214.725503 2824.050515 7859.973289
2026-04-26 87.744478 156.635908 288.632852 581.130363 1279.399240 3073.502020 8961.895377
2026-05-03 83.892658 151.469058 282.822044 579.107949 1302.657377 3216.407231 9755.761231
2026-05-10 79.893429 145.752890 275.467264 572.881155 1314.611241 3330.227008 10484.277814
2026-05-17 77.163374 142.368442 272.651342 576.762875 1352.944058 3526.376951 11576.006280